Friday, February 8, 2008

Path To Win Through a Brokered Convention

"Anonymous" left the following research as a comment on our blog last night and it is so good I wanted to share it with all of you!

Path To Win Through a Brokered Convention
1) McCain can be prevented from winning 1191 delegates.

According to RealClearPolitics McCain has 720 delegates & still needs 471 to win.
That means he has to get 44% of the remaining delegates to secure 1191.

2) So Huckabee needs to win 57% of the remaining delegates to force this to a brokered Convention.

3) On Super Tuesday McCain got 42% of the vote in Blue States and only 26% in Red States. Over 60% of McCain’s delegates have come from Blue States. Do we really want our candidate picked by states that we have very little chance of winning in the fall?

4) Remaining delegates: Red States = 711 [ 70.5% ], Blue States = 297 [ 29.5% ]

RED States Left:
47 Louisiana
39 Kansas
63 Virginia
140 Texas
88 Ohio
39 Mississippi
69 North Carolina
57 Indiana
33 Nebraska
45 Kentucky
32 Idaho
32 New Mexico
27 South Dakota

5) Every time Republicans have gone to a brokered Convention we have won!

Abraham Lincoln – 3rd Ballot - Won Presidency
Rutherford Hayes – 7th Ballot - Won Presidency
James Garfield - 36th Ballot - Won Presidency
Warren Harding – 10th Ballot – Won Presidency

6) Conservatives, unite! There is still time! Win the Red States and we go to the convention for a discussion about what it means to be a Republican.

Hope this brings encouragement and hope. It is not over!

You're right! Thank you, "Anonymous!"


Sher said...

Dr Dobson endorses Huckabee!

February 8th, 2008 12:56 AM Eastern

Influential Social Conservative, James Dobson, Endorses Huckabee for President

Fox News has confirmed that Former AR governor and GOP presidential hopeful, Mike Huckabee, has received the personal endorsement, of influential social conservative, and head of Focus on the Family, Dr.James Dobson. After a telephone conversation where the two discussed Huckabee's campaign on Thursday, Dobson released a statement" as a private citizen" endorsing Huckabee for president over rival, and Republican frontrunner Senator John McCain (R-AZ).

Dobson emphasized Huckabee's " unwavering positions on the social issues, notably the institution of marriage, the importance of faith and the sanctity of human life," that resonated "deeply with him". Dobson's endorsement comes after he said right before Super Tuesday that he could not support McCain because of his "record on the institution of the family, and other conservative issues."

Full Statement:

Dr. James Dobson issues the following statement tonight, speaking as a private citizen."I am endorsing Gov. Mike Huckabee for President of the United States today. My decision comes in the wake of my statement on Super Tuesday that I could not vote for Sen. John McCain, even if he goes on to win the Republican nomination. His record on the institution of the family and other conservative issues makes his candidacy a matter of conscience and concern for me. That left two pro-family candidates whom I could support, but I was reluctant to choose between them. However, the decision by Gov. Mitt Romney to put his campaign "on hold" changes the political landscape. The remaining candidate for whom I could vote is Gov. Huckabee. His unwavering positions on the social issues, notably the institution of marriage, the importance of faith and the sanctity of human life, resonate deeply with me and with many others. That is why I will support Gov. Huckabee through the remaining primaries, and will vote for him in the general election if he should get the nomination. Obviously, the governor faces an uphill struggle, given the delegates already committed to Sen. McCain. Nevertheless, I believe he is our best remaining choice for President of the United States.

(NOTE: Dr. Dobson made these statements as a private citizen. This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as a reflection of the opinions of Focus on the Family or Focus on the Family Action.)

Huckabee will be barnstorming through Kansas on Friday. As his schedule currently reads, he will be making at least 9 campaign stops.Kansas holds their caucuses for Republicans this weekend.

Jennifer said...

Yay! This is great to hear! I saw your blog on and came on over. You have a beautiful family!

Come visit my blog anytime!

Jennifer :-)

Anonymous said...

Thanks for the great analysis. We read it through very closely and you made us feel much better! Mike can really pull this thing off.

Sometimes I think God prefers His followers to have tough odds so He can demonstrate His power even more!

If it was too easy, we'd all get lazy!