If John McCain does win the Republican nomination, he has to thank not only the Republican Establishment which has coalesced around the only Washington Insider left in the race. He also has to thank the voters in eleven states that did not vote Republican in 2004, including ten states that have voted for Democrats in 2004, 2000, 1996, and 1992. Although some would claim that this is a good indication of how well McCain does with liberal and independent voters, the reality is that there is practically no chance that any of these states that have helped give McCain a massive delegate lead will vote for the GOP candidate in the fall.
Here are a few observations based on analyzing the contests held to date:
* In states that haven't voted for a Republican in the past four elections, McCain won 97.98% of the delegates available and edged out his competitors by an average of 22.75% in the popular vote.
In contrast to McCain, all of former Governor Mike Huckabee's wins have come in states where a Republican must win in order to win the General Election.